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Art by Clark Miller.
Opinion

Fix Private Markets Before Small Investors Are Invited In

By Rett Wallace · Dec 30, 2025 8:00am PST · 16 comments
Wall Street’s latest push into private markets may give individual investors and their 401(k) accounts access to shares of unicorns like SpaceX and OpenAI. It may also allow them to add billions of additional dollars to the liquidity trap currently plaguing more sophisticated investors. Private markets have suffered from illiquidity, not lack of... Wall Street’s latest push into private markets may give individual investors and their 401(k)...
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The Information Finance

Predicting Prediction Markets Is a Tough Call

By Ken Brown · Dec 24, 2025 8:00am PST
The best prediction for 2025 would have been predicting the soaring growth of prediction markets. My prediction for 2026 is it will be a tough year for prediction markets.My colleagues Sara Germano and Yueqi Yang chronicled the stunning rise of these markets last weekend. They focused on the dramatic growth in sports betting and the tumult this... The best prediction for 2025 would have been predicting the soaring growth of prediction markets....
Art by Clark Miller
The Arena

Sports Betting Everywhere: Prediction Markets Explode

By Sara Germano and Yueqi Yang · Dec 20, 2025 6:00am PST · 3 comments
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket have gained popularity in the U.S. by letting people bet on everything from elections to Oscar winners to weather trends. But over the past year, a substantial portion of their wagers—and in Kalshi’s case the vast majority—have come from sports betting. And now traditional sportsbooks and... Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket have gained popularity in the U.S. by letting...
Getty Images. Art: Shane Burke.
The Information Finance

Why Regulators Are Scrutinizing Prediction Markets' Trading Arms

By Yueqi Yang · Sep 2, 2026 11:06am PDT
Fast-growing prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are well known for their consumer apps, where people can bet on everything from sports and elections to the weather and stock prices. But those companies do more than operate consumer apps. Behind the scenes, several prediction markets operate their own exchanges and clearinghouses... Fast-growing prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are well known for their consumer...
SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son. Kiyoshi Ota/Bloomberg via Getty Images
The Briefing

Why SoftBank Is Rushing SB Energy to the Public Markets

By Martin Peers · Sep 1, 2026 5:00pm PDT
People used to complain that some private tech companies waited too long to go public. Thanks to the AI boom, now we’ve got tech companies going public with hardly any operating business at all. The latest example of that is SB Energy, a SoftBank-controlled solar and battery power firm that filed to go public on Tuesday. SB Energy proudly... People used to complain that some private tech companies waited too long to go public. Thanks to...